6/18/12 update (
6:52pm)
Looks like another day or two of thunderstorms.SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 407 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1:00 AM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCONA, ALPENA, ANTRIM, ARENAC, BENZIE, CHARLEVOIX, CHEBOYGAN, CLARE, CRAWFORD, EMMET, GLADWIN, GRAND TRAVERSE, IOSCO, KALKASKA, LAKE LEELANAU, MANISTEE, MASON, MISSAUKEE, MONTMORENCY, OGEMAW, OSCEOLA, OSCODA, OTSEGO, PRESQUE ISLE, ROSCOMMON, WEXFORD
In Manistee County, the short term forecast for the rest of the night, as of 6pm, is:
AT 7 PM...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL. TEMPERATURE 82. SOUTH WINDS 17 MPH.
AT 9 PM...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL. TEMPERATURE 79. SOUTH WINDS 17 MPH.
AT 11 PM...THUNDERSTORMS. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL. TEMPERATURE 76. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 MPH.
AT 1 AM...NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE 74. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 MPH.
This morning, from the National Weather Service (timestamped 5:05am - Monday, June 18):
DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNSET. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.
THERE IS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG PORTIONS OF THE LAKE MICHIGAN NEARSHORE AREA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING.
DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH RENEWED CHANCES OF STORMS OVER THE WEEKEND.
Updates: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/apx/
On Saturday, predictions called for clusters of storms between Manistee and Manitowoc, plus heavy rains and gusty winds from Frankfort to Manistee. The Bear Lake area had some rain, but the larger storm cells appeared to move north of Bear Lake.
Earlier versions of this story were published Monday, 6/18/2012 at 10:23am and Saturday, 6/16/2012 at 9:01pm.
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